QAIT unlocks 462.5 million tokens on October 31. Is that 92% of supply, or 7%?
2026-10-26 · Unlock Pulse
- On October 31, 2026 at 00:00 UTC, 462.5 million QAIT unlock in one step: 4.6% of the 10 billion maximum supply, about $759,000 at $0.00164.
- Against coins already trading, that is 92%, 46%, 24% or 7.5%, depending on which circulating-supply figure you use. The sources disagree by more than ten times.
- Three of the four readings are above our strong line of 10.4%. Only the largest, unverified circulating figure makes it a medium unlock.
- None of this tranche goes to the team or investors: it is protocol development, ecosystem and treasury money. In our archive, the recipient type did not reliably change the outcome.
- There are no perpetual futures on KuCoin or Binance. The unlock equals about 4.5 days of current trading volume.
What QAIT is
QAIT is the token of the QAIT Association, which describes itself as a Swiss non-profit that governs the SEALCOIN ecosystem, a project for machine-to-machine payments and decentralized infrastructure. The token lives on Hedera, with versions on BNB Chain, Ethereum and Base. The maximum supply is 10 billion. By the project's own page, it trades on PancakeSwap, Binance Alpha, Gate, MEXC and BitMart.
The project publishes its allocation: ecosystem and community 29.5%, protocol development 20%, treasury 18.5%, team 18%, investors 10%, advisors 2%, liquidity 2%. It does not publish a dated vesting schedule on that page; the dates below come from CoinMarketCap's unlock calendar.
The unlock
CoinMarketCap lists three tranches for October 31, all one-day cliffs:
- Protocol development: 166.7 million QAIT, about $274,000
- Ecosystem and community: 158.3 million, about $260,000
- Foundation and treasury: 137.5 million, about $226,000
Together that is 462.5 million QAIT. By CoinMarketCap's count, 19.1% of all QAIT is already unlocked; this step adds 4.6 points.
Four sizes for one unlock
Our score divides the unlock by circulating supply, because only circulating coins trade. For QAIT, that denominator is the problem:
- 500 million: CoinMarketCap's circulating-supply field. Unlock = 92.5%. This is what our calendar shows today.
- 1 billion: the figure the project reports to CoinMarketCap ("self-reported"). Unlock = 46%.
- 1.91 billion: tokens unlocked to date by CoinMarketCap's own schedule. Unlock = 24%.
- 6.15 billion: the circulating figure on one third-party tokenomics site, which contradicts its own release schedule. Unlock = 7.5%. We treat this one as unreliable.
Unlocked is not the same as circulating: treasury or ecosystem tokens can be unlocked but still sit in a project wallet. That is why the 500 million and 1.91 billion figures can both be honest at once. The truth is probably somewhere between 24% and 92%, and either way it is above the strong line.
The same spread shows up in market value. CoinMarketCap puts QAIT's market cap at about $821,000 on its own circulating figure and $1.64 million on the project's. The fully diluted value is about $16.4 million.
What history says
QAIT has no earlier unlocks in our archive, so there is no coin-specific history. The base rate is the strong group as a whole: 68 of 100 strong unlocks were weaker than Bitcoin in the 7 days before the date, by -5.1% on average. One in three were not.
Two things make QAIT a weaker fit for that base rate than a typical case. Our archive is built from coins with liquid futures markets, and QAIT has none on the big venues. And the price has been rising into the window: up 18% over the 7 days to October 26 and 7.5% in the last day. A small coin with thin trading can move on very little.
We recorded QAIT in our journal on October 26, 4.8 days before the date, at $0.00160. The result against Bitcoin goes in after October 31.
Who receives the coins
None of this tranche is labelled team or investors. Protocol development and ecosystem funds are usually spent over time, and a foundation treasury does not have to sell at all. Some readers take that as a reason the unlock will not matter. Our data does not support that shortcut: when we split the archive by recipient type, the difference was not reliable. Size against circulating supply explained far more. See what we tested.
What to watch
- October 27–30: whether the price keeps rising into the date, against the usual pattern for strong unlocks.
- October 31, 00:00 UTC: the unlock itself. With no big futures market, any selling shows up directly on spot exchanges.
- CoinMarketCap's circulating figure: if it moves from 500 million toward the unlocked amount, our score for QAIT drops from 92% toward 24% without anything happening on chain.
- November 1–2: the result in our journal, published either way.
Method
Unlock dates, amounts and recipients: CoinMarketCap unlock calendar, read October 26, 2026 at 06:19 UTC. Price $0.00164, 24-hour volume $169,000, market cap $821,000 at the same time. Allocation and listed exchanges: the project's token page at qait.ch. Base rate: our archive of 305 unlocks from 2023–2026, measured against Bitcoin over the 7 days before each date.
Not checked: the vesting contracts on chain, whether any unlocked treasury tokens have already moved to exchanges, the project's full whitepaper PDF.
Disclosure: Unlock Pulse holds no position in QAIT. Not financial advice.
Questions
Is the QAIT unlock 92% of circulating supply?
Only on CoinMarketCap's 500 million circulating figure. On the project's own figure it is 46%, and against everything unlocked so far it is 24%. All three are above our 10.4% strong line.
Who gets the unlocked QAIT?
Protocol development (166.7 million), ecosystem and community (158.3 million) and the foundation treasury (137.5 million). No team or investor tokens unlock in this step.
Can you short QAIT?
We found no perpetual futures on KuCoin or Binance. Without a liquid futures market there is no simple way to short it, and this is not a recommendation to try.
Free · about 2 posts a week · no paid signals, no exchange ads.